NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTA SA
Points 118.6 119.7
Total Points   238.3
Points From 2-Pointers 62.9 60.7
Points From 3-Pointers 37.3 42.9
Points From Free Throws 18.5 16.0
Shooting UTA SA
Field Goals Made 43.9 44.7
Field Goals Attempted 92.3 92.7
Field Goal % 47.5% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made 31.4 30.4
2 Pointers Attempted 58.1 55.4
2 Point Shooting % 54.1% 54.8%
3 Pointers Made 12.4 14.3
3 Pointers Attempted 34.2 37.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 38.3%
Free Throws Made 18.5 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 20.6
Free Throw % 83.8% 77.7%
Ball Control UTA SA
Rebounds 51.6 47.9
Rebounds - Defensive 38.4 36.2
Rebounds - Offensive 13.2 11.7
Turnovers 13.6 12.1
Blocked Shots 5.1 7.7
Steals 6.9 7.4
Fouls 16.0 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: San Antonio

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTA SA
Total Possessions 104.9
Effective Scoring Chances 104.5 104.5
% of Possessions with UTA SA
2 Point Attempt 47.9% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.3% 31.4%
Player Fouled 15.1% 15.3%
Turnover 13.0% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTA SA
Shot Blocked 8.5% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 26.7% 23.4%