NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTA PHO
Points 113.8 123.8
Total Points   237.6
Points From 2-Pointers 55.8 61.8
Points From 3-Pointers 39.4 43.2
Points From Free Throws 18.6 18.8
Shooting UTA PHO
Field Goals Made 41.0 45.3
Field Goals Attempted 91.5 88.6
Field Goal % 44.8% 51.2%
2 Pointers Made 27.9 30.9
2 Pointers Attempted 54.4 53.7
2 Point Shooting % 51.3% 57.6%
3 Pointers Made 13.1 14.4
3 Pointers Attempted 37.2 34.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 41.3%
Free Throws Made 18.6 18.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 23.3
Free Throw % 83.7% 80.7%
Ball Control UTA PHO
Rebounds 48.1 48.8
Rebounds - Defensive 33.7 37.2
Rebounds - Offensive 14.4 11.7
Turnovers 12.9 12.1
Blocked Shots 4.7 7.1
Steals 6.5 7.5
Fouls 17.2 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTA PHO
Total Possessions 102.6
Effective Scoring Chances 104.1 102.1
% of Possessions with UTA PHO
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 31.0% 30.1%
Player Fouled 15.8% 16.8%
Turnover 12.6% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTA PHO
Shot Blocked 8.2% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 27.9% 25.7%