NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTA OKC
Points 112.8 127.5
Total Points   240.3
Points From 2-Pointers 51.8 64.3
Points From 3-Pointers 40.5 45.3
Points From Free Throws 20.5 18.0
Shooting UTA OKC
Field Goals Made 39.4 47.2
Field Goals Attempted 89.3 91.5
Field Goal % 44.1% 51.6%
2 Pointers Made 25.9 32.1
2 Pointers Attempted 51.3 55.4
2 Point Shooting % 50.5% 58.0%
3 Pointers Made 13.5 15.1
3 Pointers Attempted 38.0 36.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 41.8%
Free Throws Made 20.5 18.0
Free Throws Attempted 24.5 21.9
Free Throw % 83.7% 82.1%
Ball Control UTA OKC
Rebounds 50.9 46.1
Rebounds - Defensive 35.7 35.8
Rebounds - Offensive 15.2 10.2
Turnovers 15.7 10.5
Blocked Shots 5.3 8.4
Steals 5.6 8.5
Fouls 16.9 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTA OKC
Total Possessions 103.9
Effective Scoring Chances 103.4 103.7
% of Possessions with UTA OKC
2 Point Attempt 41.9% 47.6%
3 Point Attempt 31.0% 31.1%
Player Fouled 16.1% 16.3%
Turnover 15.2% 10.1%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTA OKC
Shot Blocked 9.3% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 29.8% 22.3%