NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTA GS
Points 118.6 126.2
Total Points   244.9
Points From 2-Pointers 58.2 59.5
Points From 3-Pointers 40.6 50.8
Points From Free Throws 19.8 15.9
Shooting UTA GS
Field Goals Made 42.6 46.7
Field Goals Attempted 91.2 94.7
Field Goal % 46.8% 49.3%
2 Pointers Made 29.1 29.7
2 Pointers Attempted 52.6 53.4
2 Point Shooting % 55.3% 55.7%
3 Pointers Made 13.5 16.9
3 Pointers Attempted 38.6 41.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 41.0%
Free Throws Made 19.8 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 23.6 20.9
Free Throw % 83.8% 76.4%
Ball Control UTA GS
Rebounds 50.4 49.9
Rebounds - Defensive 36.5 36.1
Rebounds - Offensive 13.9 13.8
Turnovers 12.9 11.1
Blocked Shots 5.2 5.5
Steals 5.8 6.7
Fouls 16.0 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTA GS
Total Possessions 104.0
Effective Scoring Chances 105.0 106.7
% of Possessions with UTA GS
2 Point Attempt 43.8% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 32.1% 34.4%
Player Fouled 17.0% 15.4%
Turnover 12.4% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTA GS
Shot Blocked 6.0% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 27.8% 27.4%