NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC PHI
Points 114.0 112.1
Total Points   226.1
Points From 2-Pointers 56.6 54.6
Points From 3-Pointers 40.0 36.8
Points From Free Throws 17.4 20.7
Shooting SAC PHI
Field Goals Made 41.6 39.6
Field Goals Attempted 88.5 86.0
Field Goal % 47.1% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 28.3 27.3
2 Pointers Attempted 51.4 53.7
2 Point Shooting % 55.0% 50.9%
3 Pointers Made 13.3 12.3
3 Pointers Attempted 37.0 32.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 37.9%
Free Throws Made 17.4 20.7
Free Throws Attempted 23.4 25.3
Free Throw % 74.6% 81.9%
Ball Control SAC PHI
Rebounds 51.3 47.0
Rebounds - Defensive 37.7 36.2
Rebounds - Offensive 13.6 10.8
Turnovers 12.2 11.3
Blocked Shots 5.2 4.9
Steals 6.0 7.0
Fouls 17.8 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: Philadelphia

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC PHI
Total Possessions 100.9
Effective Scoring Chances 102.3 100.4
% of Possessions with SAC PHI
2 Point Attempt 44.2% 47.2%
3 Point Attempt 31.8% 28.4%
Player Fouled 17.8% 17.6%
Turnover 12.1% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC PHI
Shot Blocked 5.9% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 22.3%