NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC MIL
Points 117.0 120.3
Total Points   237.3
Points From 2-Pointers 59.9 55.4
Points From 3-Pointers 40.9 44.7
Points From Free Throws 16.1 20.2
Shooting SAC MIL
Field Goals Made 43.6 42.6
Field Goals Attempted 92.3 85.7
Field Goal % 47.3% 49.7%
2 Pointers Made 30.0 27.7
2 Pointers Attempted 54.1 48.9
2 Point Shooting % 55.4% 56.6%
3 Pointers Made 13.6 14.9
3 Pointers Attempted 38.2 36.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 40.4%
Free Throws Made 16.1 20.2
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 26.1
Free Throw % 74.8% 77.5%
Ball Control SAC MIL
Rebounds 48.9 48.9
Rebounds - Defensive 37.4 39.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 8.9
Turnovers 10.6 12.0
Blocked Shots 3.7 3.8
Steals 6.6 6.2
Fouls 19.1 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC MIL
Total Possessions 104.0
Effective Scoring Chances 104.9 101.0
% of Possessions with SAC MIL
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 32.6% 32.2%
Player Fouled 17.0% 18.4%
Turnover 10.2% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC MIL
Shot Blocked 4.4% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 19.3%