NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC MIL
Points 115.7 116.5
Total Points   232.2
Points From 2-Pointers 58.2 54.1
Points From 3-Pointers 41.8 42.6
Points From Free Throws 15.7 19.7
Shooting SAC MIL
Field Goals Made 43.0 41.3
Field Goals Attempted 92.0 84.7
Field Goal % 46.8% 48.7%
2 Pointers Made 29.1 27.0
2 Pointers Attempted 53.2 48.4
2 Point Shooting % 54.6% 55.9%
3 Pointers Made 13.9 14.2
3 Pointers Attempted 38.7 36.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 39.1%
Free Throws Made 15.7 19.7
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 25.3
Free Throw % 74.6% 78.0%
Ball Control SAC MIL
Rebounds 49.4 48.7
Rebounds - Defensive 37.5 39.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 8.9
Turnovers 10.3 12.1
Blocked Shots 3.7 3.7
Steals 6.7 6.0
Fouls 18.7 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC MIL
Total Possessions 102.7
Effective Scoring Chances 104.3 99.5
% of Possessions with SAC MIL
2 Point Attempt 45.9% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 33.4% 32.1%
Player Fouled 16.5% 18.2%
Turnover 10.0% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC MIL
Shot Blocked 4.5% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.0% 19.1%