NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC BOS
Points 110.6 119.2
Total Points   229.7
Points From 2-Pointers 54.4 52.1
Points From 3-Pointers 43.7 50.2
Points From Free Throws 12.5 16.9
Shooting SAC BOS
Field Goals Made 41.8 42.8
Field Goals Attempted 94.6 87.7
Field Goal % 44.1% 48.8%
2 Pointers Made 27.2 26.0
2 Pointers Attempted 53.8 46.7
2 Point Shooting % 50.6% 55.7%
3 Pointers Made 14.6 16.7
3 Pointers Attempted 40.8 40.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 40.9%
Free Throws Made 12.5 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 16.7 21.4
Free Throw % 74.6% 79.2%
Ball Control SAC BOS
Rebounds 50.3 51.5
Rebounds - Defensive 36.8 41.1
Rebounds - Offensive 13.5 10.4
Turnovers 10.4 11.1
Blocked Shots 3.4 5.1
Steals 5.8 6.1
Fouls 16.4 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC BOS
Total Possessions 101.0
Effective Scoring Chances 104.1 100.3
% of Possessions with SAC BOS
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 41.5%
3 Point Attempt 35.0% 36.3%
Player Fouled 14.0% 16.3%
Turnover 10.3% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC BOS
Shot Blocked 5.9% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 22.0%