NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC BOS
Points 110.8 118.9
Total Points   229.7
Points From 2-Pointers 54.4 51.7
Points From 3-Pointers 43.8 50.2
Points From Free Throws 12.6 17.0
Shooting SAC BOS
Field Goals Made 41.8 42.6
Field Goals Attempted 94.7 87.7
Field Goal % 44.1% 48.6%
2 Pointers Made 27.2 25.8
2 Pointers Attempted 53.9 46.5
2 Point Shooting % 50.4% 55.5%
3 Pointers Made 14.6 16.7
3 Pointers Attempted 40.8 41.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 40.7%
Free Throws Made 12.6 17.0
Free Throws Attempted 16.8 21.5
Free Throw % 74.7% 79.1%
Ball Control SAC BOS
Rebounds 50.7 51.5
Rebounds - Defensive 37.1 41.1
Rebounds - Offensive 13.6 10.3
Turnovers 10.3 11.0
Blocked Shots 3.4 5.0
Steals 5.8 6.0
Fouls 16.5 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC BOS
Total Possessions 101.1
Effective Scoring Chances 104.3 100.4
% of Possessions with SAC BOS
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 41.3%
3 Point Attempt 35.0% 36.5%
Player Fouled 14.0% 16.3%
Turnover 10.2% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC BOS
Shot Blocked 5.8% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 21.8%