NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC LAC
Points 116.3 117.5
Total Points   233.8
Points From 2-Pointers 58.1 57.3
Points From 3-Pointers 42.8 40.3
Points From Free Throws 15.3 20.0
Shooting SAC LAC
Field Goals Made 43.3 42.1
Field Goals Attempted 90.4 84.4
Field Goal % 47.9% 49.9%
2 Pointers Made 29.1 28.6
2 Pointers Attempted 52.1 51.9
2 Point Shooting % 55.8% 55.2%
3 Pointers Made 14.3 13.4
3 Pointers Attempted 38.4 32.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 41.3%
Free Throws Made 15.3 20.0
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 24.1
Free Throw % 74.8% 82.9%
Ball Control SAC LAC
Rebounds 47.5 46.5
Rebounds - Defensive 34.8 37.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 9.5
Turnovers 11.4 12.3
Blocked Shots 4.0 4.1
Steals 6.7 7.0
Fouls 18.6 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC LAC
Total Possessions 101.3
Effective Scoring Chances 102.6 98.5
% of Possessions with SAC LAC
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 33.2% 28.9%
Player Fouled 16.3% 18.3%
Turnover 11.2% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC LAC
Shot Blocked 4.9% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.5% 21.4%