NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC LAC
Points 114.7 114.8
Total Points   229.5
Points From 2-Pointers 56.5 56.6
Points From 3-Pointers 42.7 38.2
Points From Free Throws 15.6 20.0
Shooting SAC LAC
Field Goals Made 42.4 41.0
Field Goals Attempted 90.5 84.0
Field Goal % 46.9% 48.9%
2 Pointers Made 28.2 28.3
2 Pointers Attempted 51.5 52.1
2 Point Shooting % 54.8% 54.3%
3 Pointers Made 14.2 12.7
3 Pointers Attempted 39.0 31.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 39.9%
Free Throws Made 15.6 20.0
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 23.9
Free Throw % 74.6% 83.5%
Ball Control SAC LAC
Rebounds 48.3 47.3
Rebounds - Defensive 35.1 37.6
Rebounds - Offensive 13.1 9.7
Turnovers 10.9 12.5
Blocked Shots 4.1 3.8
Steals 7.0 6.6
Fouls 18.1 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: LA Clippers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC LAC
Total Possessions 100.8
Effective Scoring Chances 103.0 98.0
% of Possessions with SAC LAC
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 33.8% 28.5%
Player Fouled 16.2% 17.9%
Turnover 10.8% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC LAC
Shot Blocked 4.6% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 21.6%