NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC MEM
Points 116.8 107.9
Total Points   224.7
Points From 2-Pointers 58.0 48.5
Points From 3-Pointers 42.6 41.4
Points From Free Throws 16.2 18.0
Shooting SAC MEM
Field Goals Made 43.2 38.1
Field Goals Attempted 89.2 85.3
Field Goal % 48.5% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 29.0 24.3
2 Pointers Attempted 50.9 48.3
2 Point Shooting % 57.0% 50.2%
3 Pointers Made 14.2 13.8
3 Pointers Attempted 38.3 37.0
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 16.2 18.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 23.7
Free Throw % 74.8% 75.8%
Ball Control SAC MEM
Rebounds 51.7 46.8
Rebounds - Defensive 39.5 36.3
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 10.5
Turnovers 13.3 14.4
Blocked Shots 5.4 5.0
Steals 7.7 7.4
Fouls 18.8 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC MEM
Total Possessions 102.9
Effective Scoring Chances 101.9 99.0
% of Possessions with SAC MEM
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 41.8%
3 Point Attempt 32.7% 32.0%
Player Fouled 16.8% 18.2%
Turnover 12.9% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC MEM
Shot Blocked 6.0% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 21.0%