NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC MEM
Points 114.3 118.4
Total Points   232.7
Points From 2-Pointers 60.7 68.4
Points From 3-Pointers 36.7 31.9
Points From Free Throws 16.9 18.1
Shooting SAC MEM
Field Goals Made 42.6 44.8
Field Goals Attempted 88.7 92.2
Field Goal % 48.0% 48.7%
2 Pointers Made 30.4 34.2
2 Pointers Attempted 55.6 62.6
2 Point Shooting % 54.6% 54.6%
3 Pointers Made 12.2 10.6
3 Pointers Attempted 33.1 29.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 16.9 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.6 23.4
Free Throw % 74.7% 77.4%
Ball Control SAC MEM
Rebounds 46.4 52.4
Rebounds - Defensive 36.0 38.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 13.9
Turnovers 12.8 12.0
Blocked Shots 5.1 5.3
Steals 6.9 8.0
Fouls 16.5 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC MEM
Total Possessions 104.0
Effective Scoring Chances 101.6 105.9
% of Possessions with SAC MEM
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 52.2%
3 Point Attempt 28.4% 24.6%
Player Fouled 15.7% 15.9%
Turnover 12.3% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC MEM
Shot Blocked 5.8% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 21.2% 27.8%