NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC MEM
Points 117.0 106.2
Total Points   223.1
Points From 2-Pointers 56.3 48.9
Points From 3-Pointers 44.4 39.3
Points From Free Throws 16.2 18.0
Shooting SAC MEM
Field Goals Made 43.0 37.5
Field Goals Attempted 89.0 85.3
Field Goal % 48.3% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 28.2 24.4
2 Pointers Attempted 49.6 49.4
2 Point Shooting % 56.8% 49.4%
3 Pointers Made 14.8 13.1
3 Pointers Attempted 39.3 35.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 16.2 18.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 23.5
Free Throw % 74.6% 76.6%
Ball Control SAC MEM
Rebounds 52.0 47.0
Rebounds - Defensive 39.2 35.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 11.1
Turnovers 13.1 14.3
Blocked Shots 5.6 4.9
Steals 7.8 7.4
Fouls 18.3 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC MEM
Total Possessions 102.1
Effective Scoring Chances 101.8 98.9
% of Possessions with SAC MEM
2 Point Attempt 42.5% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 33.7% 31.1%
Player Fouled 16.6% 17.9%
Turnover 12.8% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC MEM
Shot Blocked 5.9% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 22.1%