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Sacramento at Miami
Mon Jan 20, 2020
5:00pm ET
Miami, FL
Sacramento at Miami: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Miami by 3.5, Total Points: 221
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | SAC | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 42-39-1 | 40-40-2 | |
| vs Division | 11-5-1 | 9-6-1 | |
| vs Conference | 26-25-1 | 26-24-2 | |
| Streak | W2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 6-3-1 | |
| Home | 18-23-0 | 16-25-0 | |
| Away | 24-16-1 | 24-15-2 |
Sacramento Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | Utah | -1.5 | W by 16 | +14.5 |
| 10/27 | Home | Golden State | -3.0 | L by 8 | -11.0 |
| 10/29 | Home | LA Lakers | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 11/01 | Away | Golden State | +7.0 | L by 1 | +6.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Houston | -2.5 | L by 18 | -20.5 |
| 11/06 | Away | Houston | -2.0 | L by 25 | -27.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | Portland | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Okla City | +1.5 | W by 7 | +8.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Cleveland | -1.0 | W by 12 | +11.0 |
| 11/15 | Away | LA Lakers | +1.5 | W by 15 | +16.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | San Antonio | -8.5 | W by 9 | +0.5 |
| 11/19 | Away | Dallas | +1.5 | W by 16 | +17.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | New Orleans | -2.0 | L by 36 | -38.0 |
| 11/22 | Away | New Orleans | -1.5 | L by 5 | -6.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | Minnesota | +4.0 | W by 13 | +17.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Golden State | -1.5 | W by 1 | -0.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | LA Clippers | +2.0 | L by 14 | -12.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Denver | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | New Orleans | -3.0 | L by 10 | -13.0 |
| 12/08 | Away | Phoenix | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 12/11 | Home | Brooklyn | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 12/12 | Away | LA Clippers | +3.5 | L by 20 | -16.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Okla City | -2.0 | W by 5 | +3.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Utah | -8.0 | W by 21 | +13.0 |
| 12/18 | Home | Washington | -14.0 | W by 12 | -2.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | Boston | -4.0 | L by 25 | -29.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Phoenix | -4.0 | W by 15 | +11.0 |
| 12/23 | Home | Minnesota | -2.5 | L by 12 | -14.5 |
| 12/26 | Away | Portland | -9.0 | L by 17 | -26.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | Atlanta | -1.0 | W by 7 | +6.0 |
| 12/31 | Away | Memphis | +1.0 | W by 31 | +32.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | Charlotte | -15.0 | L by 7 | -22.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Orlando | -5.5 | W by 3 | -2.5 |
| 01/05 | Home | Toronto | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | New Orleans | -4.5 | L by 33 | -37.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Detroit | -11.0 | W by 21 | +10.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Charlotte | -8.5 | W by 25 | +16.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Philadelphia | +1.0 | L by 19 | -18.0 |
| 01/14 | Away | Milwaukee | +4.0 | L by 1 | +3.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Phoenix | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 01/18 | Home | Indiana | -8.5 | L by 5 | -13.5 |
| 01/22 | Home | Atlanta | -8.5 | W by 15 | +6.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | Golden State | -1.0 | W by 1 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Dallas | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 01/29 | Away | Memphis | -11.0 | W by 9 | -2.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Miami | +2.5 | L by 9 | -6.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Indiana | -4.0 | W by 11 | +7.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Chicago | +1.0 | W by 8 | +9.0 |
| 02/05 | Away | Cleveland | +5.0 | L by 26 | -21.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Detroit | -13.5 | L by 13 | -26.5 |
| 02/09 | Home | Denver | -3.0 | W by 29 | +26.0 |
| 02/11 | Away | Okla City | +3.5 | L by 14 | -10.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | Phoenix | +4.5 | L by 5 | -0.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Denver | +5.5 | W by 4 | +9.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | San Antonio | -10.5 | W by 5 | -5.5 |
| 02/25 | Away | LA Clippers | +4.0 | W by 16 | +20.0 |
| 02/26 | Home | Miami | -7.5 | L by 11 | -18.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Denver | +9.0 | L by 21 | -12.0 |
| 03/01 | Away | Minnesota | +8.0 | W by 4 | +12.0 |
| 03/04 | Home | Chicago | -6.0 | L by 4 | -10.0 |
| 03/06 | Away | LA Lakers | +3.0 | W by 10 | +13.0 |
| 03/07 | Home | San Antonio | -12.0 | W by 2 | -10.0 |
| 03/10 | Home | Houston | -6.5 | L by 8 | -14.5 |
| 03/12 | Home | Milwaukee | -1.5 | W by 35 | +33.5 |
| 03/13 | Home | LA Lakers | +2.5 | W by 13 | +15.5 |
| 03/16 | Home | New York | -3.0 | L by 7 | -10.0 |
| 03/18 | Home | Memphis | -11.5 | W by 10 | -1.5 |
| 03/20 | Away | Toronto | -11.0 | W by 34 | +23.0 |
| 03/21 | Away | Washington | -11.0 | L by 7 | -18.0 |
| 03/23 | Away | Orlando | +3.0 | W by 2 | +5.0 |
| 03/25 | Home | Philadelphia | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 03/26 | Home | Dallas | -1.0 | L by 36 | -37.0 |
| 03/29 | Home | Dallas | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 03/31 | Home | Utah | -13.0 | W by 21 | +8.0 |
| 04/02 | Home | LA Clippers | -3.0 | W by 14 | +11.0 |
| 04/04 | Away | New York | +4.0 | L by 11 | -7.0 |
| 04/05 | Away | Boston | +9.0 | L by 1 | +8.0 |
| 04/07 | Away | Brooklyn | -10.5 | W by 30 | +19.5 |
| 04/09 | Away | Okla City | +5.5 | L by 7 | -1.5 |
| 04/11 | Home | New Orleans | -1.0 | L by 12 | -13.0 |
| 04/12 | Home | Phoenix | +4.5 | L by 1 | +3.5 |
| 04/14 | Home | Portland | -17.5 | W by 39 | +21.5 |
Miami Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Home | Detroit | -9.5 | W by 1 | -8.5 |
| 10/27 | Away | Boston | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Minnesota | +8.5 | L by 16 | -7.5 |
| 10/30 | Away | Milwaukee | +7.5 | L by 8 | -0.5 |
| 11/01 | Home | Brooklyn | -7.0 | L by 4 | -11.0 |
| 11/03 | Home | Washington | -8.5 | W by 7 | -1.5 |
| 11/06 | Home | LA Lakers | -1.5 | W by 1 | -0.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | Memphis | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Atlanta | +7.5 | W by 8 | +15.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | San Antonio | -2.0 | W by 5 | +3.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Charlotte | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | Brooklyn | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Chicago | -1.5 | L by 5 | -6.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | Chicago | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Cleveland | +1.5 | W by 33 | +34.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | New York | +5.5 | L by 2 | +3.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Brooklyn | +7.5 | L by 15 | -7.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Milwaukee | +4.0 | L by 7 | -3.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | Indiana | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Indiana | -4.5 | L by 15 | -19.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Toronto | +4.0 | W by 9 | +13.0 |
| 12/08 | Home | Cleveland | +1.5 | L by 12 | -10.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | Charlotte | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Charlotte | -7.5 | W by 11 | +3.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Chicago | -3.5 | L by 8 | -11.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Chicago | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Minnesota | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Orlando | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Atlanta | -1.0 | W by 9 | +8.0 |
| 12/25 | Home | Philadelphia | -2.0 | W by 6 | +4.0 |
| 12/28 | Away | Golden State | +6.5 | W by 12 | +18.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Utah | -3.0 | L by 8 | -11.0 |
| 01/01 | Away | LA Clippers | +8.0 | L by 17 | -9.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | LA Lakers | +5.0 | W by 14 | +19.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Phoenix | +2.5 | L by 16 | -13.5 |
| 01/08 | Home | Houston | -4.0 | W by 7 | +3.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Okla City | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 01/12 | Home | Orlando | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Charlotte | -8.5 | W by 17 | +8.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Brooklyn | -1.0 | W by 1 | 0.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Toronto | -3.0 | L by 24 | -27.0 |
| 01/19 | Home | Atlanta | -7.0 | L by 1 | -8.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Orlando | +1.0 | L by 18 | -17.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Memphis | -11.5 | L by 9 | -20.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Boston | +8.5 | L by 33 | -24.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | New York | +4.5 | L by 16 | -11.5 |
| 01/29 | Home | Phoenix | -2.0 | L by 13 | -15.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Sacramento | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Washington | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | LA Clippers | +5.0 | L by 8 | -3.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Orlando | -3.5 | W by 26 | +22.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | San Antonio | -8.0 | W by 12 | +4.0 |
| 02/11 | Home | Boston | +8.0 | L by 4 | +4.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Milwaukee | +7.0 | W by 26 | +33.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Philadelphia | +2.5 | W by 5 | +7.5 |
| 02/23 | Away | New Orleans | +2.0 | W by 11 | +13.0 |
| 02/26 | Away | Sacramento | +7.5 | W by 11 | +18.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Portland | -6.5 | W by 10 | +3.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Denver | +6.5 | L by 6 | +0.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Utah | -9.0 | W by 6 | -3.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Detroit | -11.0 | W by 8 | -3.0 |
| 03/07 | Away | Dallas | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | Okla City | +8.5 | L by 7 | +1.5 |
| 03/10 | Home | Washington | -11.5 | L by 2 | -13.5 |
| 03/13 | Home | Denver | +3.5 | L by 12 | -8.5 |
| 03/15 | Away | Detroit | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 03/17 | Away | Detroit | -5.5 | W by 3 | -2.5 |
| 03/18 | Away | Philadelphia | +3.0 | L by 7 | -4.0 |
| 03/20 | Away | Cleveland | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 03/22 | Home | New Orleans | -3.0 | L by 23 | -26.0 |
| 03/24 | Home | Cleveland | -3.5 | W by 37 | +33.5 |
| 03/26 | Home | Golden State | +5.0 | L by 21 | -16.0 |
| 03/29 | Home | Portland | -14.0 | W by 60 | +46.0 |
| 03/31 | Away | Washington | -12.0 | W by 12 | 0.0 |
| 04/02 | Home | New York | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 04/04 | Home | Philadelphia | -3.0 | L by 4 | -7.0 |
| 04/05 | Away | Houston | -3.0 | W by 15 | +12.0 |
| 04/07 | Away | Indiana | +3.0 | L by 2 | +1.0 |
| 04/09 | Away | Atlanta | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 04/10 | Home | Dallas | +2.5 | L by 19 | -16.5 |
| 04/12 | Home | Toronto | -14.0 | W by 22 | +8.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | Toronto | -16.0 | W by 15 | -1.0 |
| MIA -3.5 | Open | -5.0 | High | -6.5 |
| Last | -4.0 | Low | -3.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NBA season there have been 1140 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Miami won the game 661 times (58.0%).
- The team like Sacramento won the game 479 times (42.0%).
- The team like Miami did better against the spread, going 570-558-12 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.8 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NBA season there have been 483 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Miami did better against the spread, going 241-234-8 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.5 | -- | -3.5 |
| Open | -6.0 | -- | -6.0 |
| History | |||
| 01/20 05:04 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 05:03 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 04:38 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 04:35 PM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 01/20 04:33 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 03:59 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 03:47 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 03:39 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 03:29 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 03:25 PM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 01/20 03:16 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 02:29 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 12:56 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 11:58 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 11:52 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 11:35 AM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 01/20 11:17 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 11:03 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 10:51 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 10:42 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 10:25 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 10:25 AM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 01/20 10:15 AM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 01/20 10:14 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 10:04 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 09:53 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 09:37 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 09:35 AM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 01/20 09:33 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 08:37 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 08:23 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 08:05 AM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
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