NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC NY
Points 113.3 112.2
Total Points   225.5
Points From 2-Pointers 56.7 53.7
Points From 3-Pointers 41.6 39.8
Points From Free Throws 14.9 18.6
Shooting SAC NY
Field Goals Made 42.2 40.1
Field Goals Attempted 88.2 85.8
Field Goal % 47.9% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 28.4 26.9
2 Pointers Attempted 50.2 51.7
2 Point Shooting % 56.5% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made 13.9 13.3
3 Pointers Attempted 38.0 34.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 38.9%
Free Throws Made 14.9 18.6
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 23.9
Free Throw % 74.6% 78.1%
Ball Control SAC NY
Rebounds 47.9 49.0
Rebounds - Defensive 35.6 36.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 12.7
Turnovers 11.6 12.2
Blocked Shots 4.3 3.5
Steals 6.3 6.7
Fouls 18.1 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC NY
Total Possessions 99.5
Effective Scoring Chances 100.3 100.1
% of Possessions with SAC NY
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 33.6% 30.0%
Player Fouled 16.0% 18.2%
Turnover 11.6% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC NY
Shot Blocked 4.2% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 26.4%