NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC LAL
Points 118.0 116.0
Total Points   234.0
Points From 2-Pointers 58.7 60.2
Points From 3-Pointers 46.1 35.8
Points From Free Throws 13.2 20.0
Shooting SAC LAL
Field Goals Made 44.7 42.0
Field Goals Attempted 94.7 83.3
Field Goal % 47.2% 50.5%
2 Pointers Made 29.3 30.1
2 Pointers Attempted 53.8 53.3
2 Point Shooting % 54.6% 56.5%
3 Pointers Made 15.4 11.9
3 Pointers Attempted 40.9 30.0
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 39.9%
Free Throws Made 13.2 20.0
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 25.7
Free Throw % 74.6% 77.8%
Ball Control SAC LAL
Rebounds 49.2 47.1
Rebounds - Defensive 36.5 39.3
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 7.7
Turnovers 11.2 13.2
Blocked Shots 4.2 4.0
Steals 7.8 6.3
Fouls 19.4 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC LAL
Total Possessions 103.6
Effective Scoring Chances 105.1 98.1
% of Possessions with SAC LAL
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 47.2%
3 Point Attempt 34.7% 26.5%
Player Fouled 13.4% 18.7%
Turnover 10.8% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC LAL
Shot Blocked 4.9% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.5% 17.5%