NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC LAL
Points 118.7 116.4
Total Points   235.1
Points From 2-Pointers 58.9 60.0
Points From 3-Pointers 46.5 36.0
Points From Free Throws 13.2 20.4
Shooting SAC LAL
Field Goals Made 45.0 42.0
Field Goals Attempted 94.7 83.5
Field Goal % 47.5% 50.3%
2 Pointers Made 29.5 30.0
2 Pointers Attempted 53.9 53.4
2 Point Shooting % 54.6% 56.1%
3 Pointers Made 15.5 12.0
3 Pointers Attempted 40.8 30.1
3 Point Shooting % 38.0% 39.9%
Free Throws Made 13.2 20.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 26.3
Free Throw % 74.7% 77.6%
Ball Control SAC LAL
Rebounds 49.5 47.1
Rebounds - Defensive 36.8 39.3
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 7.9
Turnovers 11.4 13.1
Blocked Shots 4.2 3.9
Steals 7.8 6.4
Fouls 19.5 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC LAL
Total Possessions 104.0
Effective Scoring Chances 105.3 98.7
% of Possessions with SAC LAL
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 47.0%
3 Point Attempt 34.5% 26.5%
Player Fouled 13.2% 18.7%
Turnover 11.0% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC LAL
Shot Blocked 4.8% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 17.6%