NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC ORL
Points 110.4 110.6
Total Points   221.0
Points From 2-Pointers 57.3 56.5
Points From 3-Pointers 36.3 34.5
Points From Free Throws 16.8 19.7
Shooting SAC ORL
Field Goals Made 40.8 39.7
Field Goals Attempted 85.1 82.4
Field Goal % 47.9% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made 28.7 28.3
2 Pointers Attempted 50.5 52.1
2 Point Shooting % 56.7% 54.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.1 11.5
3 Pointers Attempted 34.6 30.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 37.9%
Free Throws Made 16.8 19.7
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 26.4
Free Throw % 74.8% 74.6%
Ball Control SAC ORL
Rebounds 45.8 47.7
Rebounds - Defensive 35.6 37.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 10.7
Turnovers 13.5 14.0
Blocked Shots 3.9 4.2
Steals 7.6 7.6
Fouls 20.2 18.4

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC ORL
Total Possessions 101.6
Effective Scoring Chances 98.3 98.2
% of Possessions with SAC ORL
2 Point Attempt 44.5% 45.8%
3 Point Attempt 30.5% 26.6%
Player Fouled 18.1% 19.8%
Turnover 13.2% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC ORL
Shot Blocked 5.1% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 21.5% 23.0%