NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC ORL
Points 109.7 107.9
Total Points   217.6
Points From 2-Pointers 55.7 54.7
Points From 3-Pointers 37.6 33.0
Points From Free Throws 16.5 20.1
Shooting SAC ORL
Field Goals Made 40.4 38.4
Field Goals Attempted 85.3 81.4
Field Goal % 47.3% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 27.8 27.4
2 Pointers Attempted 50.3 51.4
2 Point Shooting % 55.3% 53.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.5 11.0
3 Pointers Attempted 35.0 30.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 16.5 20.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 26.6
Free Throw % 74.6% 75.6%
Ball Control SAC ORL
Rebounds 47.0 47.3
Rebounds - Defensive 36.1 36.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 10.4
Turnovers 13.2 13.9
Blocked Shots 4.0 4.0
Steals 7.9 7.4
Fouls 20.3 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC ORL
Total Possessions 100.8
Effective Scoring Chances 98.4 97.3
% of Possessions with SAC ORL
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 30.9% 26.6%
Player Fouled 17.7% 20.1%
Turnover 13.1% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC ORL
Shot Blocked 5.0% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.8% 22.3%