NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC DAL
Points 115.9 116.0
Total Points   231.9
Points From 2-Pointers 56.6 54.4
Points From 3-Pointers 43.2 43.1
Points From Free Throws 16.0 18.5
Shooting SAC DAL
Field Goals Made 42.7 41.6
Field Goals Attempted 91.3 86.0
Field Goal % 46.8% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made 28.3 27.2
2 Pointers Attempted 52.6 48.6
2 Point Shooting % 53.9% 55.9%
3 Pointers Made 14.4 14.4
3 Pointers Attempted 38.7 37.4
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 38.4%
Free Throws Made 16.0 18.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 24.5
Free Throw % 74.7% 75.6%
Ball Control SAC DAL
Rebounds 51.1 48.0
Rebounds - Defensive 38.4 38.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 9.3
Turnovers 11.6 11.9
Blocked Shots 3.5 4.0
Steals 7.1 6.0
Fouls 19.9 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Dallas

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC DAL
Total Possessions 103.1
Effective Scoring Chances 104.1 100.5
% of Possessions with SAC DAL
2 Point Attempt 44.8% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 33.0% 32.9%
Player Fouled 15.9% 19.3%
Turnover 11.3% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC DAL
Shot Blocked 4.7% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 19.4%