NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC DEN
Points 114.6 125.5
Total Points   240.1
Points From 2-Pointers 64.0 59.0
Points From 3-Pointers 32.7 44.0
Points From Free Throws 17.9 22.5
Shooting SAC DEN
Field Goals Made 42.9 44.2
Field Goals Attempted 91.7 85.9
Field Goal % 46.8% 51.4%
2 Pointers Made 32.0 29.5
2 Pointers Attempted 59.3 51.1
2 Point Shooting % 54.0% 57.7%
3 Pointers Made 10.9 14.7
3 Pointers Attempted 32.4 34.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 42.2%
Free Throws Made 17.9 22.5
Free Throws Attempted 23.3 27.8
Free Throw % 76.9% 80.8%
Ball Control SAC DEN
Rebounds 47.2 49.0
Rebounds - Defensive 34.2 38.7
Rebounds - Offensive 13.0 10.3
Turnovers 10.2 11.0
Blocked Shots 4.4 3.4
Steals 6.6 6.1
Fouls 19.7 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC DEN
Total Possessions 102.8
Effective Scoring Chances 105.6 102.1
% of Possessions with SAC DEN
2 Point Attempt 50.6% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 30.3%
Player Fouled 15.6% 19.2%
Turnover 9.9% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC DEN
Shot Blocked 4.0% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 23.1%