NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC DEN
Points 119.3 122.3
Total Points   241.6
Points From 2-Pointers 63.0 64.2
Points From 3-Pointers 39.1 39.8
Points From Free Throws 17.2 18.3
Shooting SAC DEN
Field Goals Made 44.5 45.4
Field Goals Attempted 93.1 88.1
Field Goal % 47.9% 51.5%
2 Pointers Made 31.5 32.1
2 Pointers Attempted 57.3 56.0
2 Point Shooting % 55.0% 57.3%
3 Pointers Made 13.0 13.3
3 Pointers Attempted 35.8 32.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 41.3%
Free Throws Made 17.2 18.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 23.7
Free Throw % 80.6% 77.1%
Ball Control SAC DEN
Rebounds 47.6 48.4
Rebounds - Defensive 34.4 37.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.1 11.1
Turnovers 10.8 12.5
Blocked Shots 4.8 4.1
Steals 7.5 6.9
Fouls 17.0 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC DEN
Total Possessions 103.4
Effective Scoring Chances 105.7 101.9
% of Possessions with SAC DEN
2 Point Attempt 48.5% 48.2%
3 Point Attempt 30.3% 27.6%
Player Fouled 15.4% 16.5%
Turnover 10.5% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC DEN
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 26.0% 24.3%