NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC IND
Points 120.0 120.6
Total Points   240.6
Points From 2-Pointers 66.6 65.0
Points From 3-Pointers 34.4 38.1
Points From Free Throws 19.0 17.6
Shooting SAC IND
Field Goals Made 44.8 45.2
Field Goals Attempted 90.5 89.0
Field Goal % 49.5% 50.8%
2 Pointers Made 33.3 32.5
2 Pointers Attempted 58.8 56.1
2 Point Shooting % 56.7% 57.9%
3 Pointers Made 11.5 12.7
3 Pointers Attempted 31.7 32.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 38.6%
Free Throws Made 19.0 17.6
Free Throws Attempted 25.4 22.7
Free Throw % 74.6% 77.6%
Ball Control SAC IND
Rebounds 49.7 45.8
Rebounds - Defensive 36.6 36.0
Rebounds - Offensive 13.1 9.7
Turnovers 11.8 11.9
Blocked Shots 4.4 4.8
Steals 6.2 6.6
Fouls 18.1 18.9

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC IND
Total Possessions 104.2
Effective Scoring Chances 105.4 102.0
% of Possessions with SAC IND
2 Point Attempt 49.3% 48.5%
3 Point Attempt 26.6% 28.4%
Player Fouled 18.1% 17.4%
Turnover 11.3% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC IND
Shot Blocked 5.5% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 21.0%