NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC NO
Points 112.7 115.9
Total Points   228.6
Points From 2-Pointers 54.0 59.4
Points From 3-Pointers 43.1 37.5
Points From Free Throws 15.6 18.9
Shooting SAC NO
Field Goals Made 41.4 42.2
Field Goals Attempted 88.5 85.5
Field Goal % 46.7% 49.4%
2 Pointers Made 27.0 29.7
2 Pointers Attempted 46.7 53.9
2 Point Shooting % 57.8% 55.1%
3 Pointers Made 14.4 12.5
3 Pointers Attempted 41.8 31.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 39.6%
Free Throws Made 15.6 18.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 24.6
Free Throw % 74.8% 76.9%
Ball Control SAC NO
Rebounds 47.6 48.4
Rebounds - Defensive 36.0 38.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 10.1
Turnovers 12.6 12.3
Blocked Shots 4.4 3.9
Steals 6.1 7.4
Fouls 17.9 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: New Orleans

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC NO
Total Possessions 102.0
Effective Scoring Chances 101.0 99.8
% of Possessions with SAC NO
2 Point Attempt 40.6% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 36.3% 27.7%
Player Fouled 16.5% 17.5%
Turnover 12.3% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC NO
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 21.9%