NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC DET
Points 120.7 109.1
Total Points   229.8
Points From 2-Pointers 63.5 56.5
Points From 3-Pointers 39.6 34.0
Points From Free Throws 17.6 18.7
Shooting SAC DET
Field Goals Made 44.9 39.6
Field Goals Attempted 89.2 85.1
Field Goal % 50.4% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made 31.7 28.2
2 Pointers Attempted 53.6 54.3
2 Point Shooting % 59.2% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made 13.2 11.3
3 Pointers Attempted 35.6 30.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 17.6 18.7
Free Throws Attempted 23.6 23.9
Free Throw % 74.6% 78.3%
Ball Control SAC DET
Rebounds 49.2 46.3
Rebounds - Defensive 38.0 36.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 10.0
Turnovers 11.0 14.0
Blocked Shots 5.1 3.6
Steals 8.4 6.0
Fouls 17.1 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC DET
Total Possessions 103.0
Effective Scoring Chances 103.2 99.0
% of Possessions with SAC DET
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 47.2%
3 Point Attempt 30.8% 26.8%
Player Fouled 17.5% 16.6%
Turnover 10.7% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC DET
Shot Blocked 4.3% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.6% 20.8%