NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC SA
Points 117.5 111.4
Total Points   228.9
Points From 2-Pointers 62.5 56.0
Points From 3-Pointers 40.4 38.4
Points From Free Throws 14.5 16.9
Shooting SAC SA
Field Goals Made 44.7 40.8
Field Goals Attempted 93.7 87.2
Field Goal % 47.7% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 31.3 28.0
2 Pointers Attempted 57.1 52.4
2 Point Shooting % 54.7% 53.5%
3 Pointers Made 13.5 12.8
3 Pointers Attempted 36.6 34.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 14.5 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 21.8
Free Throw % 74.7% 77.6%
Ball Control SAC SA
Rebounds 50.9 49.1
Rebounds - Defensive 38.7 39.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 10.1
Turnovers 11.4 14.1
Blocked Shots 4.1 4.9
Steals 8.4 6.2
Fouls 17.4 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC SA
Total Possessions 104.1
Effective Scoring Chances 104.9 100.1
% of Possessions with SAC SA
2 Point Attempt 48.3% 45.2%
3 Point Attempt 30.9% 30.0%
Player Fouled 14.5% 16.7%
Turnover 11.0% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC SA
Shot Blocked 5.7% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 20.7%