NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC PHO
Points 113.7 114.3
Total Points   228.0
Points From 2-Pointers 55.3 57.0
Points From 3-Pointers 43.1 37.3
Points From Free Throws 15.3 19.9
Shooting SAC PHO
Field Goals Made 42.0 40.9
Field Goals Attempted 92.3 82.8
Field Goal % 45.6% 49.5%
2 Pointers Made 27.7 28.5
2 Pointers Attempted 52.7 51.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.5% 55.2%
3 Pointers Made 14.4 12.4
3 Pointers Attempted 39.6 31.2
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 39.9%
Free Throws Made 15.3 19.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 24.7
Free Throw % 74.6% 80.7%
Ball Control SAC PHO
Rebounds 47.8 49.3
Rebounds - Defensive 34.6 39.5
Rebounds - Offensive 13.2 9.7
Turnovers 10.9 14.2
Blocked Shots 3.8 4.4
Steals 8.1 6.5
Fouls 19.0 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC PHO
Total Possessions 102.0
Effective Scoring Chances 104.3 97.6
% of Possessions with SAC PHO
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 33.8% 27.5%
Player Fouled 15.6% 18.6%
Turnover 10.7% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC PHO
Shot Blocked 5.4% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 22.0%