NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC PHO
Points 113.8 114.6
Total Points   228.4
Points From 2-Pointers 55.2 56.6
Points From 3-Pointers 43.5 37.9
Points From Free Throws 15.1 20.1
Shooting SAC PHO
Field Goals Made 42.1 40.9
Field Goals Attempted 92.4 83.0
Field Goal % 45.6% 49.3%
2 Pointers Made 27.6 28.3
2 Pointers Attempted 52.8 51.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.3% 55.0%
3 Pointers Made 14.5 12.6
3 Pointers Attempted 39.7 31.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 40.0%
Free Throws Made 15.1 20.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 24.9
Free Throw % 74.7% 80.7%
Ball Control SAC PHO
Rebounds 47.8 49.5
Rebounds - Defensive 34.7 39.7
Rebounds - Offensive 13.1 9.8
Turnovers 10.9 14.1
Blocked Shots 4.0 4.4
Steals 8.0 6.5
Fouls 18.9 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC PHO
Total Possessions 102.1
Effective Scoring Chances 104.3 97.8
% of Possessions with SAC PHO
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 45.3%
3 Point Attempt 33.9% 27.8%
Player Fouled 15.6% 18.5%
Turnover 10.7% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC PHO
Shot Blocked 5.4% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.7% 22.0%