NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC OKC
Points 113.9 119.4
Total Points   233.4
Points From 2-Pointers 52.0 59.6
Points From 3-Pointers 45.0 40.3
Points From Free Throws 16.9 19.5
Shooting SAC OKC
Field Goals Made 41.0 43.2
Field Goals Attempted 90.5 86.4
Field Goal % 45.3% 50.0%
2 Pointers Made 26.0 29.8
2 Pointers Attempted 49.8 53.3
2 Point Shooting % 52.2% 55.9%
3 Pointers Made 15.0 13.4
3 Pointers Attempted 40.7 33.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 40.6%
Free Throws Made 16.9 19.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.7 23.7
Free Throw % 74.4% 82.2%
Ball Control SAC OKC
Rebounds 50.4 47.1
Rebounds - Defensive 36.6 38.5
Rebounds - Offensive 13.8 8.6
Turnovers 13.4 12.1
Blocked Shots 4.3 5.2
Steals 6.9 7.4
Fouls 18.8 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC OKC
Total Possessions 103.6
Effective Scoring Chances 104.0 100.0
% of Possessions with SAC OKC
2 Point Attempt 41.7% 46.8%
3 Point Attempt 34.1% 29.1%
Player Fouled 16.0% 18.2%
Turnover 12.9% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC OKC
Shot Blocked 6.1% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 19.0%