NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC MIN
Points 108.4 111.9
Total Points   220.4
Points From 2-Pointers 53.0 53.7
Points From 3-Pointers 38.9 38.6
Points From Free Throws 16.6 19.6
Shooting SAC MIN
Field Goals Made 39.5 39.7
Field Goals Attempted 88.3 82.1
Field Goal % 44.7% 48.4%
2 Pointers Made 26.5 26.9
2 Pointers Attempted 52.8 50.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.2% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made 13.0 12.9
3 Pointers Attempted 35.6 31.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 40.5%
Free Throws Made 16.6 19.6
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 25.4
Free Throw % 74.7% 77.2%
Ball Control SAC MIN
Rebounds 48.7 48.4
Rebounds - Defensive 36.3 39.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 9.2
Turnovers 12.3 13.4
Blocked Shots 3.8 4.7
Steals 7.3 7.0
Fouls 19.9 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC MIN
Total Possessions 101.3
Effective Scoring Chances 101.4 97.1
% of Possessions with SAC MIN
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 44.9%
3 Point Attempt 30.8% 28.4%
Player Fouled 16.7% 19.6%
Turnover 12.1% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC MIN
Shot Blocked 5.8% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.0% 20.3%