NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC POR
Points 120.1 109.8
Total Points   229.9
Points From 2-Pointers 64.5 55.7
Points From 3-Pointers 37.7 36.0
Points From Free Throws 17.8 18.1
Shooting SAC POR
Field Goals Made 44.8 39.8
Field Goals Attempted 87.9 87.1
Field Goal % 51.0% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 32.3 27.8
2 Pointers Attempted 52.1 55.5
2 Point Shooting % 61.9% 50.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.6 12.0
3 Pointers Attempted 35.8 31.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 37.9%
Free Throws Made 17.8 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 23.8 22.8
Free Throw % 74.8% 79.7%
Ball Control SAC POR
Rebounds 49.6 46.0
Rebounds - Defensive 37.3 34.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 12.0
Turnovers 12.8 14.3
Blocked Shots 5.3 3.7
Steals 8.2 7.0
Fouls 17.4 18.4

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC POR
Total Possessions 102.8
Effective Scoring Chances 102.3 100.5
% of Possessions with SAC POR
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 47.4%
3 Point Attempt 30.7% 27.1%
Player Fouled 17.9% 16.9%
Turnover 12.5% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC POR
Shot Blocked 4.3% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 24.4%