NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC POR
Points 119.1 106.5
Total Points   225.6
Points From 2-Pointers 63.0 54.7
Points From 3-Pointers 38.4 34.1
Points From Free Throws 17.7 17.7
Shooting SAC POR
Field Goals Made 44.3 38.7
Field Goals Attempted 87.7 87.0
Field Goal % 50.5% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 31.5 27.4
2 Pointers Attempted 51.3 55.7
2 Point Shooting % 61.4% 49.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.8 11.4
3 Pointers Attempted 36.4 31.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 36.3%
Free Throws Made 17.7 17.7
Free Throws Attempted 23.7 22.3
Free Throw % 74.6% 79.4%
Ball Control SAC POR
Rebounds 50.2 46.8
Rebounds - Defensive 37.8 34.3
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 12.5
Turnovers 12.1 14.1
Blocked Shots 5.3 3.5
Steals 8.3 6.6
Fouls 17.1 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC POR
Total Possessions 101.8
Effective Scoring Chances 102.1 100.2
% of Possessions with SAC POR
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 47.8%
3 Point Attempt 31.5% 26.9%
Player Fouled 17.7% 16.8%
Turnover 11.9% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC POR
Shot Blocked 4.1% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 24.8%