NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC WAS
Points 124.0 112.6
Total Points   236.7
Points From 2-Pointers 67.5 58.3
Points From 3-Pointers 38.8 37.4
Points From Free Throws 17.8 17.0
Shooting SAC WAS
Field Goals Made 46.7 41.6
Field Goals Attempted 92.7 88.2
Field Goal % 50.3% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 33.8 29.1
2 Pointers Attempted 56.5 53.9
2 Point Shooting % 59.7% 54.0%
3 Pointers Made 12.9 12.5
3 Pointers Attempted 36.2 34.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 17.8 17.0
Free Throws Attempted 23.9 22.1
Free Throw % 74.6% 76.8%
Ball Control SAC WAS
Rebounds 53.9 44.3
Rebounds - Defensive 40.2 35.6
Rebounds - Offensive 13.7 8.8
Turnovers 11.8 13.3
Blocked Shots 5.3 3.9
Steals 7.7 6.5
Fouls 17.7 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC WAS
Total Possessions 105.1
Effective Scoring Chances 107.1 100.6
% of Possessions with SAC WAS
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 46.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.1% 29.5%
Player Fouled 17.0% 16.9%
Turnover 11.2% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC WAS
Shot Blocked 4.5% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 27.8% 17.9%