NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY PHI
Points 111.7 110.3
Total Points   222.1
Points From 2-Pointers 54.7 56.1
Points From 3-Pointers 37.7 36.0
Points From Free Throws 19.3 18.3
Shooting NY PHI
Field Goals Made 39.9 40.0
Field Goals Attempted 87.3 86.9
Field Goal % 45.7% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 27.4 28.0
2 Pointers Attempted 52.9 53.5
2 Point Shooting % 51.7% 52.4%
3 Pointers Made 12.6 12.0
3 Pointers Attempted 34.4 33.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 19.3 18.3
Free Throws Attempted 24.7 22.3
Free Throw % 78.1% 81.9%
Ball Control NY PHI
Rebounds 52.3 46.0
Rebounds - Defensive 36.1 33.6
Rebounds - Offensive 16.2 12.4
Turnovers 12.2 10.8
Blocked Shots 5.2 6.1
Steals 5.8 6.4
Fouls 15.8 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: New York

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY PHI
Total Possessions 98.0
Effective Scoring Chances 101.9 99.6
% of Possessions with NY PHI
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 47.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.5% 29.6%
Player Fouled 18.6% 16.2%
Turnover 12.5% 11.0%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY PHI
Shot Blocked 7.1% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 32.5% 25.6%