NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY MIL
Points 113.1 114.5
Total Points   227.6
Points From 2-Pointers 56.8 55.8
Points From 3-Pointers 39.1 41.3
Points From Free Throws 17.2 17.4
Shooting NY MIL
Field Goals Made 41.4 41.7
Field Goals Attempted 90.4 85.3
Field Goal % 45.8% 48.8%
2 Pointers Made 28.4 27.9
2 Pointers Attempted 54.5 48.2
2 Point Shooting % 52.0% 57.9%
3 Pointers Made 13.0 13.8
3 Pointers Attempted 35.8 37.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 37.0%
Free Throws Made 17.2 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 22.5
Free Throw % 77.9% 77.3%
Ball Control NY MIL
Rebounds 49.9 47.7
Rebounds - Defensive 36.0 37.4
Rebounds - Offensive 13.9 10.4
Turnovers 10.4 11.6
Blocked Shots 3.6 4.6
Steals 6.6 5.5
Fouls 16.8 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY MIL
Total Possessions 99.9
Effective Scoring Chances 103.3 98.7
% of Possessions with NY MIL
2 Point Attempt 47.2% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 31.0% 33.2%
Player Fouled 17.3% 16.8%
Turnover 10.5% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY MIL
Shot Blocked 5.5% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.1% 22.4%