NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY CLE
Points 110.1 109.8
Total Points   220.0
Points From 2-Pointers 54.0 54.8
Points From 3-Pointers 39.3 39.9
Points From Free Throws 16.8 15.1
Shooting NY CLE
Field Goals Made 40.1 40.7
Field Goals Attempted 87.2 84.9
Field Goal % 46.0% 48.0%
2 Pointers Made 27.0 27.4
2 Pointers Attempted 52.6 48.4
2 Point Shooting % 51.4% 56.7%
3 Pointers Made 13.1 13.3
3 Pointers Attempted 34.6 36.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.8% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 16.8 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 19.9
Free Throw % 78.1% 76.0%
Ball Control NY CLE
Rebounds 49.5 46.3
Rebounds - Defensive 35.5 35.4
Rebounds - Offensive 14.0 10.9
Turnovers 11.7 12.3
Blocked Shots 4.3 4.3
Steals 7.2 6.0
Fouls 16.5 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY CLE
Total Possessions 97.9
Effective Scoring Chances 100.2 96.5
% of Possessions with NY CLE
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 30.5% 33.0%
Player Fouled 16.1% 16.8%
Turnover 12.0% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY CLE
Shot Blocked 5.2% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 28.4% 23.6%