NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY BOS
Points 108.0 116.8
Total Points   224.8
Points From 2-Pointers 52.9 52.9
Points From 3-Pointers 41.3 48.9
Points From Free Throws 13.8 14.9
Shooting NY BOS
Field Goals Made 40.2 42.8
Field Goals Attempted 93.8 88.1
Field Goal % 42.9% 48.5%
2 Pointers Made 26.5 26.5
2 Pointers Attempted 55.6 46.1
2 Point Shooting % 47.6% 57.4%
3 Pointers Made 13.8 16.3
3 Pointers Attempted 38.1 42.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 38.8%
Free Throws Made 13.8 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 18.8
Free Throw % 78.1% 79.2%
Ball Control NY BOS
Rebounds 51.5 50.6
Rebounds - Defensive 35.3 38.7
Rebounds - Offensive 16.1 11.9
Turnovers 10.4 10.5
Blocked Shots 3.4 6.3
Steals 5.6 5.5
Fouls 14.6 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: New York

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY BOS
Total Possessions 98.0
Effective Scoring Chances 103.8 99.4
% of Possessions with NY BOS
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 41.4%
3 Point Attempt 32.7% 37.8%
Player Fouled 14.6% 14.9%
Turnover 10.6% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY BOS
Shot Blocked 7.2% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 29.4% 25.3%