NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY ATL
Points 121.4 114.3
Total Points   235.7
Points From 2-Pointers 60.1 56.8
Points From 3-Pointers 43.4 40.1
Points From Free Throws 17.9 17.4
Shooting NY ATL
Field Goals Made 44.5 41.8
Field Goals Attempted 89.3 89.1
Field Goal % 49.9% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 30.0 28.4
2 Pointers Attempted 52.7 52.4
2 Point Shooting % 57.0% 54.2%
3 Pointers Made 14.5 13.4
3 Pointers Attempted 36.6 36.7
3 Point Shooting % 39.6% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 17.9 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 22.9 22.2
Free Throw % 78.1% 78.3%
Ball Control NY ATL
Rebounds 50.4 46.4
Rebounds - Defensive 36.2 33.0
Rebounds - Offensive 14.2 13.4
Turnovers 12.0 12.0
Blocked Shots 4.7 4.4
Steals 7.0 5.9
Fouls 16.5 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY ATL
Total Possessions 100.8
Effective Scoring Chances 103.0 102.3
% of Possessions with NY ATL
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 31.3% 31.6%
Player Fouled 16.9% 16.4%
Turnover 11.9% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY ATL
Shot Blocked 5.0% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 30.1% 27.1%