NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY CHA
Points 115.6 104.6
Total Points   220.2
Points From 2-Pointers 57.5 54.5
Points From 3-Pointers 42.0 36.3
Points From Free Throws 16.2 13.8
Shooting NY CHA
Field Goals Made 42.7 39.3
Field Goals Attempted 87.7 84.7
Field Goal % 48.7% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 28.7 27.2
2 Pointers Attempted 50.5 50.5
2 Point Shooting % 56.9% 54.0%
3 Pointers Made 14.0 12.1
3 Pointers Attempted 37.1 34.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 16.2 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 17.5
Free Throw % 77.9% 78.9%
Ball Control NY CHA
Rebounds 51.9 42.3
Rebounds - Defensive 37.3 32.6
Rebounds - Offensive 14.6 9.8
Turnovers 12.1 12.5
Blocked Shots 3.9 4.3
Steals 6.6 5.6
Fouls 15.3 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY CHA
Total Possessions 97.8
Effective Scoring Chances 100.3 95.0
% of Possessions with NY CHA
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 46.3%
3 Point Attempt 32.6% 31.4%
Player Fouled 16.3% 15.7%
Turnover 12.3% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY CHA
Shot Blocked 5.1% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 30.9% 20.7%