NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY UTA
Points 121.4 113.4
Total Points   234.8
Points From 2-Pointers 58.2 57.8
Points From 3-Pointers 45.8 37.4
Points From Free Throws 17.4 18.1
Shooting NY UTA
Field Goals Made 44.4 41.4
Field Goals Attempted 91.7 86.9
Field Goal % 48.3% 47.6%
2 Pointers Made 29.1 28.9
2 Pointers Attempted 53.5 51.5
2 Point Shooting % 54.3% 56.1%
3 Pointers Made 15.3 12.5
3 Pointers Attempted 38.2 35.4
3 Point Shooting % 40.0% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 17.4 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.3 21.7
Free Throw % 77.9% 83.7%
Ball Control NY UTA
Rebounds 48.7 47.8
Rebounds - Defensive 33.5 34.4
Rebounds - Offensive 15.2 13.4
Turnovers 10.6 13.8
Blocked Shots 5.6 5.3
Steals 7.8 5.1
Fouls 16.3 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY UTA
Total Possessions 100.1
Effective Scoring Chances 104.7 99.7
% of Possessions with NY UTA
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 32.5% 30.6%
Player Fouled 16.4% 16.3%
Turnover 10.6% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 5.1% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY UTA
Shot Blocked 6.2% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 30.7% 28.5%