NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY SAC
Points 112.2 113.2
Total Points   225.4
Points From 2-Pointers 53.7 56.7
Points From 3-Pointers 39.8 41.6
Points From Free Throws 18.7 15.0
Shooting NY SAC
Field Goals Made 40.1 42.2
Field Goals Attempted 85.8 88.2
Field Goal % 46.7% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 26.9 28.3
2 Pointers Attempted 51.7 50.2
2 Point Shooting % 51.9% 56.5%
3 Pointers Made 13.3 13.9
3 Pointers Attempted 34.1 38.0
3 Point Shooting % 38.9% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 18.7 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 23.9 20.1
Free Throw % 78.1% 74.6%
Ball Control NY SAC
Rebounds 49.0 47.9
Rebounds - Defensive 36.2 35.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 12.4
Turnovers 12.2 11.6
Blocked Shots 3.5 4.3
Steals 6.7 6.3
Fouls 16.0 18.1

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY SAC
Total Possessions 99.5
Effective Scoring Chances 100.1 100.3
% of Possessions with NY SAC
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 44.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.9% 33.5%
Player Fouled 18.2% 16.0%
Turnover 12.2% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY SAC
Shot Blocked 5.0% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 26.4% 25.5%