NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY LAL
Points 115.1 113.1
Total Points   228.2
Points From 2-Pointers 56.7 61.5
Points From 3-Pointers 44.1 34.5
Points From Free Throws 14.3 17.1
Shooting NY LAL
Field Goals Made 43.1 42.3
Field Goals Attempted 94.3 84.6
Field Goal % 45.6% 50.0%
2 Pointers Made 28.4 30.7
2 Pointers Attempted 54.8 54.4
2 Point Shooting % 51.8% 56.5%
3 Pointers Made 14.7 11.5
3 Pointers Attempted 39.6 30.1
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 38.2%
Free Throws Made 14.3 17.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 22.1
Free Throw % 78.1% 77.1%
Ball Control NY LAL
Rebounds 52.0 45.8
Rebounds - Defensive 36.2 37.2
Rebounds - Offensive 15.8 8.7
Turnovers 11.3 12.2
Blocked Shots 4.4 5.0
Steals 7.2 5.8
Fouls 17.2 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: New York

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY LAL
Total Possessions 100.8
Effective Scoring Chances 105.2 97.2
% of Possessions with NY LAL
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 48.9%
3 Point Attempt 33.4% 27.1%
Player Fouled 13.6% 17.1%
Turnover 11.2% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY LAL
Shot Blocked 6.0% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 29.8% 19.3%