NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY ORL
Points 106.9 106.5
Total Points   213.4
Points From 2-Pointers 53.7 56.3
Points From 3-Pointers 35.1 32.4
Points From Free Throws 18.1 17.7
Shooting NY ORL
Field Goals Made 38.6 39.0
Field Goals Attempted 83.7 82.3
Field Goal % 46.1% 47.3%
2 Pointers Made 26.8 28.2
2 Pointers Attempted 51.4 51.3
2 Point Shooting % 52.3% 54.9%
3 Pointers Made 11.7 10.8
3 Pointers Attempted 32.3 31.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 18.1 17.7
Free Throws Attempted 23.2 23.5
Free Throw % 78.1% 75.6%
Ball Control NY ORL
Rebounds 47.4 46.5
Rebounds - Defensive 34.5 34.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.9 11.9
Turnovers 13.3 13.2
Blocked Shots 3.9 5.0
Steals 7.6 6.7
Fouls 18.1 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: Orlando

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY ORL
Total Possessions 97.9
Effective Scoring Chances 97.5 96.5
% of Possessions with NY ORL
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 27.9%
Player Fouled 18.4% 18.5%
Turnover 13.5% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY ORL
Shot Blocked 6.1% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 27.1% 25.6%