NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY DAL
Points 112.5 113.3
Total Points   225.8
Points From 2-Pointers 54.4 55.3
Points From 3-Pointers 40.4 41.6
Points From Free Throws 17.7 16.4
Shooting NY DAL
Field Goals Made 40.7 41.5
Field Goals Attempted 89.9 86.2
Field Goal % 45.2% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made 27.2 27.7
2 Pointers Attempted 54.0 48.2
2 Point Shooting % 50.4% 57.3%
3 Pointers Made 13.5 13.9
3 Pointers Attempted 35.9 37.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.5% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 17.7 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 22.6 21.7
Free Throw % 78.1% 75.4%
Ball Control NY DAL
Rebounds 52.0 47.0
Rebounds - Defensive 36.8 36.3
Rebounds - Offensive 15.2 10.7
Turnovers 11.6 11.4
Blocked Shots 3.5 5.0
Steals 6.8 5.4
Fouls 17.7 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: New York

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY DAL
Total Possessions 99.8
Effective Scoring Chances 103.4 99.1
% of Possessions with NY DAL
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 30.7% 33.9%
Player Fouled 16.6% 17.7%
Turnover 11.6% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY DAL
Shot Blocked 5.9% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 29.4% 22.5%