NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY IND
Points 117.6 119.3
Total Points   236.8
Points From 2-Pointers 64.6 66.8
Points From 3-Pointers 31.9 37.0
Points From Free Throws 21.1 15.6
Shooting NY IND
Field Goals Made 42.9 45.7
Field Goals Attempted 88.9 89.5
Field Goal % 48.3% 51.1%
2 Pointers Made 32.3 33.4
2 Pointers Attempted 59.6 55.9
2 Point Shooting % 54.2% 59.7%
3 Pointers Made 10.6 12.3
3 Pointers Attempted 29.4 33.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 21.1 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 27.0 19.9
Free Throw % 77.9% 78.0%
Ball Control NY IND
Rebounds 50.3 44.5
Rebounds - Defensive 34.8 33.4
Rebounds - Offensive 15.5 11.1
Turnovers 12.1 11.4
Blocked Shots 4.3 5.9
Steals 6.1 6.1
Fouls 16.2 19.3

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY IND
Total Possessions 101.4
Effective Scoring Chances 104.8 101.1
% of Possessions with NY IND
2 Point Attempt 50.0% 49.0%
3 Point Attempt 24.6% 29.4%
Player Fouled 19.0% 16.0%
Turnover 11.9% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY IND
Shot Blocked 6.7% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 31.7% 24.2%