NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY NO
Points 108.5 110.7
Total Points   219.3
Points From 2-Pointers 50.2 58.9
Points From 3-Pointers 41.9 35.6
Points From Free Throws 16.5 16.3
Shooting NY NO
Field Goals Made 39.0 41.3
Field Goals Attempted 87.4 85.5
Field Goal % 44.7% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made 25.1 29.4
2 Pointers Attempted 46.7 53.4
2 Point Shooting % 53.6% 55.1%
3 Pointers Made 14.0 11.9
3 Pointers Attempted 40.6 32.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 16.5 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 21.2
Free Throw % 78.1% 76.9%
Ball Control NY NO
Rebounds 49.8 47.3
Rebounds - Defensive 35.4 36.1
Rebounds - Offensive 14.4 11.2
Turnovers 12.6 11.6
Blocked Shots 4.5 4.7
Steals 5.9 6.7
Fouls 15.8 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: New Orleans

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY NO
Total Possessions 98.3
Effective Scoring Chances 100.1 97.9
% of Possessions with NY NO
2 Point Attempt 40.8% 48.0%
3 Point Attempt 35.5% 28.9%
Player Fouled 16.7% 16.1%
Turnover 12.8% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY NO
Shot Blocked 5.6% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 28.5% 24.0%