NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY DET
Points 117.7 107.5
Total Points   225.2
Points From 2-Pointers 61.2 57.9
Points From 3-Pointers 37.1 33.2
Points From Free Throws 19.4 16.5
Shooting NY DET
Field Goals Made 43.0 40.0
Field Goals Attempted 87.5 85.7
Field Goal % 49.1% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 30.6 28.9
2 Pointers Attempted 54.6 54.0
2 Point Shooting % 56.1% 53.5%
3 Pointers Made 12.4 11.1
3 Pointers Attempted 32.9 31.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.5% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 19.4 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 24.8 21.0
Free Throw % 78.1% 78.3%
Ball Control NY DET
Rebounds 49.6 45.5
Rebounds - Defensive 36.4 34.1
Rebounds - Offensive 13.2 11.4
Turnovers 11.0 13.4
Blocked Shots 5.1 4.4
Steals 8.1 5.4
Fouls 15.3 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY DET
Total Possessions 100.0
Effective Scoring Chances 102.2 98.0
% of Possessions with NY DET
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 47.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.6% 27.9%
Player Fouled 18.2% 15.3%
Turnover 11.0% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY DET
Shot Blocked 5.3% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 28.0% 23.9%