NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY DET
Points 117.6 107.5
Total Points   225.2
Points From 2-Pointers 61.5 58.0
Points From 3-Pointers 37.0 33.1
Points From Free Throws 19.2 16.4
Shooting NY DET
Field Goals Made 43.1 40.1
Field Goals Attempted 87.4 85.9
Field Goal % 49.2% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 30.7 29.0
2 Pointers Attempted 54.4 54.2
2 Point Shooting % 56.5% 53.5%
3 Pointers Made 12.3 11.0
3 Pointers Attempted 33.0 31.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 19.2 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 24.6 20.9
Free Throw % 77.9% 78.3%
Ball Control NY DET
Rebounds 49.5 45.5
Rebounds - Defensive 36.4 34.0
Rebounds - Offensive 13.1 11.5
Turnovers 11.2 13.4
Blocked Shots 5.0 4.4
Steals 8.1 5.5
Fouls 15.2 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY DET
Total Possessions 100.1
Effective Scoring Chances 102.0 98.2
% of Possessions with NY DET
2 Point Attempt 47.3% 47.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 27.9%
Player Fouled 18.2% 15.2%
Turnover 11.2% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY DET
Shot Blocked 5.3% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 27.8% 24.0%