NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY SA
Points 114.3 109.9
Total Points   224.2
Points From 2-Pointers 60.3 57.8
Points From 3-Pointers 37.9 37.3
Points From Free Throws 16.1 14.8
Shooting NY SA
Field Goals Made 42.8 41.3
Field Goals Attempted 92.4 87.7
Field Goal % 46.3% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 30.2 28.9
2 Pointers Attempted 58.5 52.2
2 Point Shooting % 51.6% 55.4%
3 Pointers Made 12.6 12.4
3 Pointers Attempted 34.0 35.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 16.1 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 19.0
Free Throw % 78.1% 77.6%
Ball Control NY SA
Rebounds 51.4 48.4
Rebounds - Defensive 36.8 36.8
Rebounds - Offensive 14.6 11.6
Turnovers 11.5 13.4
Blocked Shots 4.1 6.1
Steals 8.2 5.6
Fouls 15.4 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: San Antonio

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY SA
Total Possessions 101.0
Effective Scoring Chances 104.2 99.1
% of Possessions with NY SA
2 Point Attempt 49.5% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 31.1%
Player Fouled 15.1% 15.2%
Turnover 11.3% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY SA
Shot Blocked 7.0% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 28.5% 23.9%