NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY SA
Points 114.0 107.4
Total Points   221.5
Points From 2-Pointers 59.4 56.8
Points From 3-Pointers 38.5 36.1
Points From Free Throws 16.2 14.5
Shooting NY SA
Field Goals Made 42.5 40.4
Field Goals Attempted 91.7 87.9
Field Goal % 46.4% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 29.7 28.4
2 Pointers Attempted 56.9 53.2
2 Point Shooting % 52.2% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made 12.8 12.0
3 Pointers Attempted 34.8 34.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 16.2 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.7 18.7
Free Throw % 78.1% 77.7%
Ball Control NY SA
Rebounds 52.7 47.6
Rebounds - Defensive 38.1 36.3
Rebounds - Offensive 14.6 11.3
Turnovers 12.1 13.3
Blocked Shots 4.2 6.2
Steals 7.9 6.1
Fouls 15.4 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: San Antonio

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY SA
Total Possessions 101.0
Effective Scoring Chances 103.5 99.0
% of Possessions with NY SA
2 Point Attempt 48.2% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 29.5% 30.4%
Player Fouled 15.0% 15.3%
Turnover 11.9% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY SA
Shot Blocked 7.2% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 28.7% 22.9%