NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY POR
Points 116.4 105.3
Total Points   221.7
Points From 2-Pointers 61.3 56.5
Points From 3-Pointers 35.8 33.3
Points From Free Throws 19.3 15.6
Shooting NY POR
Field Goals Made 42.6 39.3
Field Goals Attempted 86.1 88.0
Field Goal % 49.5% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 30.7 28.2
2 Pointers Attempted 52.3 55.7
2 Point Shooting % 58.6% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 11.9 11.1
3 Pointers Attempted 33.8 32.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 19.3 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 24.8 19.6
Free Throw % 77.9% 79.4%
Ball Control NY POR
Rebounds 50.4 46.2
Rebounds - Defensive 35.9 31.8
Rebounds - Offensive 14.5 14.4
Turnovers 12.3 13.5
Blocked Shots 5.2 4.3
Steals 8.0 6.0
Fouls 15.2 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY POR
Total Possessions 98.9
Effective Scoring Chances 101.1 99.9
% of Possessions with NY POR
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.3% 28.0%
Player Fouled 18.4% 15.4%
Turnover 12.4% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY POR
Shot Blocked 5.0% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 31.3% 28.7%